Welcome to the peak of the hurricane season

peakofseasonHOLT, Fla., Sept. 10, 2019—Today marks the seasonal peak of the Atlantic hurricane season.

While the overall seasonal peak runs from mid August to late October, the climatological peak, Sept. 10, is when the season is the most active on average.

The official season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30.

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Sept. 10, 2018

Last year at this time, the National Hurricane Center was watching three hurricanes in the Atlantic Ocean, one of them Florence.

Hurricane Florence made landfall in North Carolina as a category 1 storm, but caused so much death and destruction, the name was retired from the World Meteorological Organization’s name list and will not be used again.

This Sept. 10, the National Hurricane Center is watching four disturbances in the Atlantic. Unlike last season, only one of them are named storms–Tropical Storm Gabrielle–and none are hurricanes.

Atlantic update pie chart 2019Early forecasts were for a slightly below-average 2019 hurricane season. However, predictions were adjusted upward to a slightly above-average season.

For the 2019 season, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration updated its hurricane predictions in August to 10-to-17 named storms, five-to-nine hurricanes and two-to-four major hurricanes.

To date, there have been seven named storms, two hurricanes (Barry and Dorian) and one major hurricane (Dorian).

That means the season has some catching up to do if it is to reach the potential of NOAA’s predictions.

Stephanie Holcombe

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