New disturbance in the Caribbean

two_atl_5d0HOLT, Fla., June 11, 2018–The National Hurricane Center is watching a new disturbance in the Caribbean Sea.

Formation chances are 20 percent for the next five days. Line of movement is west-northwest.

According to the NHC, a broad area of showers and thunderstorms has persisted over the southwestern Caribbean Sea for the past several hours.

This activity is associated with a tropical wave over northwestern Venezuela and
a surface trough located just east of Nicaragua interacting with a large upper-level trough.

Little development of this area of disturbed weather is expected during the next few days due to interaction with Central America and the Yucatan Peninsula.

However, environmental conditions could become somewhat more conducive for
some limited development when the system moves into the southwestern Gulf of Mexico by the end of the week.

National Hurricane Center forecast

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