Storm expected to be a hurricane by landfall

115050_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind

This area is in the five-day cone of unpredictability. (National Hurricane Center)

HOLT, Fla., Oct. 7, 2018—Tropical Depression 14 is expected to reach hurricane strength before landfall somewhere along the northern Gulf Coast.

The National Hurricane Center’s forecast is for the system to become a hurricane by Tuesday night or Wednesday with wind speeds of 75 mph.

The eastern half of the National Weather Service in Mobile’s forecast area, from the Mississippi/Alabama border west, currently is in the unpredictability cone for Tropical Depression14.

Because of this, the NWS Mobile advises people not to only focus on the centerline of the storm because everyone within the cone could feel the impact from this system.

115050_earliest_reasonable_toa_34Upgraded to a tropical depression at the National Hurricane Center’s 4 a.m. update, what will soon be Tropical Storm Michael, forecast to develop sometime today, is moving north at only 3 mph.

This system is expected to strengthen as it lifts northward across the southern and central Gulf of Mexico through Tuesday night with a northeastward turn as it approaches the northern Gulf coast Wednesday, according to the NWS in Mobile.

Currently, the low-pressure system is centered just off the east coast of the Yucatan Peninsula and has continued to become better organized, according to radar data from Belize and infrared satellite imagery.

The center is expected to move northward through the Yucatan Channel Monday morning, gradually gaining speed as it crosses the eastern Gulf of Mexico late Monday through Wednesday.

All indications are that the depression will gradually strengthen while it moves northward over the Gulf of Mexico.

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