HOLT, Fla., Aug. 11, 2021—Northwest Florida could feel impacts from Tropical Storm Fred this weekend.
According to the National Hurricane Center, there is a risk of wind and rainfall impacts in Florida beginning Friday in the Keys and spreading northward through portions of the peninsula and panhandle this weekend.
That said, it is too soon to determine the exact timing, location and magnitude of any potential impacts, according to the NHC.
Fred is moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph as the system makes its way across Hispaniola.
During the five-day forecast period, the system is expected to generally track west-northwest for the next two days before shifting to a more northwest track after that.
Wind speeds are at 40 mph; however, some weakening is likely while the system interacts with the land mass of Hispaniola later today and tonight.
Some re-strengthening should occur after the system moves away from the island.
On the forecast track, the center of Fred is expected to be near or over Hispaniola later today, move near the Turks and Caicos Islands and the southeastern Bahamas tomorrow and move north of the northern coast of central Cuba Friday.
After that, however, there is significant uncertainty in the intensity forecast for the latter part of the five-day forecast period, according to the NHC.
The NWS cautions that four- and five-day track forecasts have average errors of 175 and 200 miles, respectively.
Further to the east, a tropical wave the NHC has designated Invest 95 now has a 40 percent chance of further development during the five-day forecast period.
Located several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, the system is expected to develop into a possible tropical depression by early next week as it moves west.
Invest 95 could reach portions of the Leeward Islands by late Saturday.