HOLT, Fla., June 17, 2017 (as of 8 a.m. EST)–The National Hurricane Center continues to watch two areas of interest in the Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico.
The first, a tropical wave located about 1,500 miles east-southeast of the southern Windward Islands is producing scattered showers and thunderstorms.
This disturbance has changed little in organization since yesterday. However, some development is expected during the next few days before conditions become less favorable for tropical cyclone formation.
This system is expected to continue moving toward the west or west-northwest at 15-to-20 mph over the tropical Atlantic during the next several days.
Formation chance through 48 hours is 40 percent. Formation chance through five days is high at 70 percent.
A second area of interest is a broad trough of low pressure is producing a large area of cloudiness and showers over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and the adjacent land areas.
Conditions appear to be favorable for gradual development of this large disturbance while it moves slowly northwestward across the Yucatan Peninsula this weekend, and a tropical cyclone could form early next week over the southern or central Gulf of Mexico.
Regardless of development, heavy rains are likely to spread over portions of Central America, the Yucatan Peninsula, Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, and western Cuba during the next several days.
Formation chance through 48 hours is a low 20 percent. Formation chance through the next five days is 70 percent.
National Hurricane Center