HOLT Fla., June 19, 2017 (as of 8 a.m. EDT)–Attention today is focused on the low pressure system making its way across the Yucatan Peninsula in Mexico.
The system, located several hundred miles east-southeast of the southern Windward Islands, continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms along with gale force winds several hundred miles east and northeast of the estimated center.
While the low still lacks a well-defined center of circulation, gradual development is expected today through Tuesday while it moves across the southern and central Gulf of Mexico, and a tropical or subtropical cyclone is likely to form.
A surface trough extends from the low-pressure center of this system, to the Florida Big Bend area.
An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system later today, if necessary.
Formation chance through the next 48 hours, as well as the next five days, is high at 90 percent.
The storm in the Atlantic, still east of the Caribbean Sea, is moving at 23 mph with winds at 40 mph and gusts of 50 mph.
It is forecast to be a tropical storm when it moves through the Windward Islands tonight and Tuesday.
As with the system in the Yucatan, formation chance for this storm for the next 48 hours through Friday is 90 percent.