Tropical system expected in the Gulf

two_atl_5d0HOLT, Fla., Sept. 2, 2018–A tropical depression is expected to form in the Gulf of Mexico this week according to the National Hurricane Center.

The system overĀ the southeastern and central BahamasĀ is expected to move west-northwest across the remainder of the islands, southern Florida and the Florida Keys during the next day or so.

Little, if any, development is expected during that time due to wind shear.

However, the current unfavorable upper-level wind pattern is expected to gradually change and become more conducive for a tropical depression to form over the eastern and central Gulf of Mexico by Tuesday or Wednesday.

Formation chance through the next five days is now at 80 percent.

Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Florence in the Atlantic continues to gradually strengthen.

Moving west-northwest at 15 mph, winds are at 60 mph with some continued forecast strengthening before gradual weakening by the end of the week.

By Wednesday, Florence is forecast to turn northwest; however, how much of a turn is less certain, according to the NHC.

A stronger Florence will likely turn more toward the northwest, while a weaker, shallower system should continue on a more westward-to-west-northwestward track toward the east coast of the United States and Canada.

Florence is not a threat to the United States at this time, according to the NHC, and hurricane models continue to show the storm remaining in the Atlantic based on current and forecast conditions.

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