HOLT, Fla., May 31, 2022—The first Atlantic tropical system of the season is expected to form in the Gulf of Mexico later this week.

According to the National Hurricane Center, remnants of Pacific Hurricane Agatha will move across Mexico’s Yucatan Peninsula and cross into the Caribbean Sea where it will likely develop into a tropical system.

Despite strong upper-level winds, this system could become a tropical depression while it moves northeast over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and southeastern Gulf of Mexico late this week.

South Florida and the Florida Keys could experience effects from the system by the end of the week, according to the NHC.

Should a tropical depression develop into a storm, it will be named Alex.

Formation chance is now at 60 percent through the next five days.

Staff and NHC forecast