HOLT, Fla., Aug. 27, 2019–Florida could get its first tropical storm of the 2019 season this weekend.
The latest track from the National Hurricane Center shows a possible landfall Sunday morning anywhere from the Florida Keys to the Florida-Georgia state line.
It’s still too early to determine where Dorian could land at this time.
For now, the NHC is forecasting Dorian to remain a tropical storm.
Slow strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours and Dorian is forecast to be near hurricane strength when it moves close to Puerto Rico and eastern Hispaniola.
However, considerable weakening is forecast as the system approaches and moves over the more mountainous terrain of Hispaniola.
Considerable uncertainty exists as to the degree of re-intensification depending on how much land interaction will impact Dorian’s circulation center, according to the NHC.
Dorian is forecast to drift over the eastern Caribbean Sea through Wednesday, then up across the Bahamas into the weekend, nearing the southeast Florida coast late in the weekend.
Dorian is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph, and this motion is expected to continue through tonight, followed by a turn toward the northwest on Wednesday.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 50 mph.